Contrarian scientist Lennart Bengtsson slammed by climate cabal

This week, a renowned climate scientist and research fellow at the University of Reading in the UK was treated to the same sort of emotional blackmail doled out to Galileo in the 17th century by the Roman Catholic Church for publishing theories that disputed the sanctioned scientific views of that day.

Lennart Bengtsson has a long and distinguished career in the mainstream of climate science. The 79-year-old meteorologist has published some 225 peer-reviewed articles and was Head of Research for the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting) from 1975-1981 and Director from 1982-1990. He also was Director of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg from 1990-2001 and from 2008 was Director of the International Space Science Institute in Bern, Switzerland.

However, Bengtsson has long questioned why climate models are not able to accurately predict the climate. In an interview with Hans von Storch, Bengtsson said that he is concerned that the global temperature rise of only about 1-1/3 degrees Farenheit since the end of the 19th century doesn’t match the large increase in greenhouse gases added to the atmosphere by burning of fossil fuels.

Climate models don’t match the real world

It is an established fact that the Earth’s average temperature has not risen at all in the last 17 years.

Bengtsson is concerned that the United Nations’ IPCC group, which regularly puts out reports on the sad state of the world’s climate, is not paying enough attention to this fact, nor to the lack of ocean surface warming and the increases in Antarctic sea ice in the last several years.

Furthermore, he told von Storch, he began to be dismayed by the way the science behind the IPCC report was being used to advance a purely political agenda.

In fact, President Obama’s newly released National Climate Assessment report relies heavily on the IPCC report. The NCA will be the basis of the EPA’s upcoming regulation of carbon dioxide emissions from existing coal-fired power plants, which is expected to cause the price of energy to skyrocket, and in the process, cut quite a few jobs.

Climate science ‘not ready for prime time’

This “dramatic makeover of the power industry” based on a science that is not yet well understood is exactly what has Bengtsson worried. “Climate science must be focused to understand such matters much better and for this reason it is appropriate to have an open mind and not follow the IPCC as believers of a religious faith,” he told von Storch.

His doubt and questions eventually led him to join a think tank called the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), which the mainstream climate science community regards with disdain, though its members come from every flavor of the political spectrum.

Though he doesn’t agree with all the scientists at GWPF, Bengtsson said he believes there should be a variety of opinions aired about such a complex system as the Earth’s climate. And furthermore, he is interested in the group’s desire to use science to help society adapt to changes in climate that occur in the future, such as, for example, using nuclear energy to replace fossil fuels.

Brutal backlash

Unfortunately, the collaboration was short lived. Within a week after his announcement, Bengtsson wrote an email to the GWPF to resign his new position, due to the vicious backlash he received from the mainstream climate science community. In it, he wrote:

“I have been put under such an enormous group pressure in recent days from all over the world that has become virtually unbearable to me. If this is going to continue I will be unable to conduct my normal work and will even start to worry about my health and safety….

It is a situation that reminds me about the time of McCarthy.”

–Lennart Bengtsson

One of the most striking claims Bengtsson made is that “the pressure had mainly come from climate scientists in the US,” and specifically a scientist who works for the U.S. Government, who insisted on removing his name from a paper co-authored with Bengtsson.

This “My Way or the Highway” approach reminds me of what President Obama, incidentally the head of the U.S. Government, expressed this past week, when he said, “We’ve still got some climate deniers who shout loud, but they’re wasting everybody’s time on a settled debate.”

 

GOD’S NOT DEAD – Movie review

Five weeks after its debut, Indie film GOD’S NOT DEAD, the story of a student’s confrontation with an atheist teacher, continues to surprise Hollywood watchers.

The Sydney Morning Herald reports that, as of April 21, 2014*, the film grossed $48 million, despite playing in only about half the theaters of Hollywood’s larger films, while spending only $4 million, a nice return on investment.

Film synopsis

The story weaves together events in the lives of several characters, including freshman university student Josh Wheaton (played by Shane Harper), who refuses to deny God publicly in front of his Intro to Philosophy class, even though his grade–and his future–are at stake.

On the very first day of class, Professor Radisson (Kevin Sorbo) tells Josh that since he will not admit that “God Is Dead,” he must prove God’s existence by engaging Radisson in a head-to-head debate in front of the other students. Josh struggles with a lack of confidence in his ability to represent God and spends hours pouring over scientific and philosophical books, while ignoring his homework.

GND_Press6-crop-RRMeanwhile, other characters, including students Martin (Paul Kwo) and Ayisha (Hadeel Sittu), observe and react to Josh’s struggle.

The film is enlivened with a heart-pounding concert performance of the 2011 hit song God’s Not Dead by the Christian rock group, The Newsboys, and a downright hokey cameo appearance by Duck Dynasty stars Willie Roberson and his wife, Korie Robertson.

As the action rises, we see the final (and in one case, fatal) decisions made by several of the characters.

Ms. Contrarian Scientist expects negative reviews for any Christian film from mainstream sites like Rotten Tomatoes, and sure enough, the movie was dissed by many for poor acting, unbelievable characters and a simplistic, melodramatic plot.

Philosophy or science?

One critic, an atheist professor of philosophy, who grew up as an Evangelical Christian, has so far spent over 12,000 words complaining about the philosophical arguments aired in the movie.

In fact, the movie’s writers focused much more on philosophical, rather than scientific arguments to prove that God exists. Josh is taking a class on Introduction to Philosophy, not a science class. And Radisson is a Professor of Philosophy, not a scientist.

What is the difference between philosophy and science? The definition of science is the study of the natural world using observation and experiments to come up with testable explanations and predictions about that world. This is called the Scientific Method.

Though philosophers use discoveries made by scientists, for example in physics and quantum mechanics, philosophy is not science and does not use the Scientific Method.

GND_OfficialPoster-RR

The word “philo-sophy” comes from two Greek words that mean, “love” and “wisdom.” So philosophy is the love of, or study of wisdom or knowledge. In college philosophy classes, students learn to argue a point of view, using formal, rigorous logic.

(Watch this short video to see how philosophy uses scientific evidence to grapple with the question, “Does God exist?”)

In his second presentation to the class, Josh argues that noted cosmologist Stephen Hawking, who believes that the universe began spontaneously, is in error. To say that something exists, therefore it must have had a beginning is true. But to then turn around and say it began because it now exists is faulty, circular logic.

So even though Hawking, in his book, The Grand Delusion, claims that philosophy is dead,  Ms. Contrarian Scientist feels that the question of which came first, the chicken or the egg, pushes us firmly back into the realm of philosophy, rather than science.

But what about the science?

As Ms. Contrarian Scientist is not a philosopher, she prefers to weigh in on the scientific evidence for God’s existence presented in the movie.

A recent poll shows that 51 percent of Americans question the Big Bang theory. There is some credible scientific evidence against it (see, for instance The Static Universe: Exploding the Myth of Cosmic Expansion by Hilton Ratcliffe).

But for now, the Big Bang theory is the standard scientific model of the universe. After telling the class that it was Georges Lemaître, a Catholic priest and mathematician who first proposed the theory, Josh reads out loud from the Bible:

In the beginning, God created the heavens and the Earth…And God said, “Let there be light,” and there was light.'” (Genesis 1:1, 3 NIV)

He then asks the class, “Doesn’t this sound a lot like the Big Bang?”

Some would say that this was one of the pivotal moment in the debate–and the movie.

But, others will argue that scientists now believe that it wasn’t light, per se, that exploded out of the Big Bang, but rather an opaque electronic plasma. The plasma’s charged particles did not came together to create the first atoms until about 380,000 years after the explosion. So light, which is electromagnetic radiation given off by atoms and molecules, could not have existed before then.

Compared with the 13.8 billion years of age estimated for the universe, a pause of only 380,000 years between the Big Bang and the appearance of light is less than a blink of an eye. Thus, Ms. Contrarian Scientist fully supports Josh on this point.

Life from non-life?

Josh then discusses Darwin and his theory of evolution caused by natural selection. He tells the class that Darwin wrote, “Nature does not jump,” because on his travels, the scientist observed that changes in nature take place slowly and gradually, over long periods of time.

This led Darwin to hypothesize that all the different species we see on Earth were caused by infinitesimal changes in earlier organisms, leading back to an original single-cell organism. Some of these changes, or mutations, gave them a survival advantage, and any organism that is more likely to survive will live to pass its genes on to the next generation.

In the debate, Josh points out that the problem with natural selection as the mechanism for evolution is that the relatively short history of life on Earth, compared with the planet’s age, shows that nature has indeed “jumped” in the geologic timescale.

That’s just one reason why more and more scientists, including those who firmly believe in evolution, have begun to look for other explanations for a physical mechanism that led to the existence of life on the Earth.

GND_Press18-RR

The movie doesn’t try to bite off more than it can chew. Rather than explore some of the most recent ideas about evolution vs. creation by an Intelligent Designer, Josh mentions that God might have merely guided the process of evolution, which is an anathema to some Christians.

And he doesn’t quibble over the age of the universe, as many Christians do. These are discussions for another day, as the film’s focus remains squarely on one thing:

[A]nyone who comes to [God] must believe that he exists and that he rewards those who earnestly seek him. (Heb. 11:6 NIV)

While the movie provides a rousing call to action for believers, watching the film may not fully answers a skeptic’s questions. More details on the scientific and philosophical debate points covered can be found in the book on which the movie is based: God’s Not Dead: Evidence for God in an Age of Uncertainty, by Rice Broocks.

Ultimately, Ms. Contrarian Scientist very much concurs with Newsboys drummer, Duncan Phillips who said, “I don’t think God minds that we ask questions.”

Still showing near you?

While the show closed in some North American and Canadian theaters on April 24, 2014, many new theaters have been added in the U.S. and Canada. It just opened last Friday in the UK and will continue to show there in the near future.

The Spanish language version opened in Mexico on April 24, 2014, and openings will continue throughout May and June in South and Central America.

*Updated to include year

Failing the mumps test

Are you old enough to remember the “mumps test”? That’s when your mother gives you a dill pickle and watches while you bite down on it and then scream in pain, confirming that you have indeed contracted a case of the mumps.

Yes, all these decades later, Ms. Contrarian Scientist can remember the feverish haze, the swollen chipmunk cheeks, and the sting of pain after taking a bite out of that dratted pickle.

Eight young men living together in a frat house or playing on the lacrosse team at Stevens Institute of Technology in New Jersey never had a need for the mumps test—until now. They join another eight frat brothers at Fordham University in New York City, who contacted the disease earlier this year. And a significant outbreak of mumps is going on in and around the Ohio State University in Columbus.

Sick child in bed with teddy bearFully immunized

Despite its silly name, the mumps is no laughing matter. The disease, which is caused by a virus and spread through saliva, can render you deaf or sterile, or even kill you. There’s good reason to fear the mumps, which is why it has long been included in that standard combination vaccine most babies receive—the term MMR stands for “measles, mumps and rubella.”

And these sick young people were all fully immunized against mumps, or they wouldn’t be allowed to attend their respective schools.

So our question today is, “What does the Scientific Method have to say about incidents like these?”

First off, it’s pretty obvious that the mumps vaccination does not prevent all people from contracting the mumps.

Beware the mind police

But you can’t just come out and say that, can you? Because the mind police will be after you like white on rice.

Alrighty then, you could safely conclude that the particular form of the mumps vaccination these young men took did not prevent them from contracting the mumps. Was there some change in the vaccination 15 or 20 years ago when these students received it that weakened its effectiveness? That’s something to look into.

Or, maybe because it’s been years since their last booster shots, the effects have worn off. Some doctors concur:

“The immunity that’s induced by the virus starts to wane. They believe that it holds until at least late teenage years, but then it starts to wane,” said Dr. Dana Saltzman, a disease specialist told NBC New York. “There’s no way to predict who’s going to lose their immunity or not.”

Infant child baby kid hand with medical insulin syringeBut saying that the vaccine wears off gradually doesn’t fit the vaccine narrative, does it? I thought that once we’ve been exposed to a particular virus, we can never catch that virus again.

Works for me, but not for thee

Could it be that the vaccine just doesn’t work on everyone? Vaccines contain de-fanged versions of diseased cells that cause your body to mount an immune defense against them. The theory is that once your body has created the specific immune cells needed to fight a disease, it “remembers” what to do the next time it encounters those particular germs. But maybe not everyone has an immune system strong enough or “smart” enough to do this.

Another possibility: The vaccine just makes you less likely to get the mumps, and if you do get them, there is less risk of serious complications. But, weren’t we always told that the purpose of a vaccine is to PREVENT the disease, not just lessen the risk of complications?

Or, as one commenter on the Stevens Institute story noted, will vaccinations go down as one of the biggest con jobs in history?

A complicated puzzle

From just the arguments and counter-arguments presented in this short article, it’s easy to conclude that we (and by we, I mean scientists) don’t really understand the whole vaccine thing the way we thought we did. Questions remain—big questions.

But for some odd reason, scientific journals don’t allow publication of data that contradicts the vaccination bullies, even when that data comes from published, peer reviewed science.

Because, to hear public health authorities talk, we KNOW, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that VACCINES ARE NECESSARY TO PROTECT THE PUBLIC and furthermore VACCINES NEVER CAUSE PROBLEMS, so SHUT UP AND TAKE YOUR SHOTS, baby.

I wonder if the nurses at the Stevens Institute clinic gave those unfortunate young men the pickle test?

About Ms. Contrarian Scientist

Ms. Contrarian Scientist
Ms. Contrarian Scientist

Having studied science in college and then gone to work as an engineer for a large corporation, Ms. Contrarian Scientist (MCS) woke up one day and said to herself, ”I wish I could believe in God. It would be such a relief to know that God is real and that He cares about me, that I’m not just some random accident of the universe. BUT—Science proves that God is not real and that evolution is the way we got here, and there is no need for a God, so in fact there is no God. Too bad.”*

Through the years, MCS has come to realize that she is not the only one who has ever doubted God’s existence, due to a reverence for Science. In fact, she bets that there are thousands, if not millions of folks out there who know that something is missing in their lives and they want to believe in God. But they are sad because they believe that Science as the ultimate truth kicks God out of the picture.

Furthermore, MCS bets there are thousands, if not millions, of God-believers out there who FEAR Science, who fear to look closely at Science because they worry that Science disproves God. And they cower when they hear others loudly denounce anyone who believes in God, because—SCIENCE!

Does Science rule out God?

The word “science” comes from a Latin word that means “knowledge.”

According to all the definitions, science is a methodical study of the natural world. The Scientific Method is a structured way of learning the truth about the world around us. So true science is a search for the truth, which is a great thing.

We don’t have to try to ‘protect God’ from science.

God himself is all about truth. And those of us who believe in God, or who are searching for God, should never fear the true truth. We don’t have to try to “protect God” from science, either. He’s a big God—he can handle it.

Ms. Contrarian Scientist

Now, practical science (or engineering) has brought us many wonderful things—such as iPads, longer lifespans, and no-iron shirts.

However, science, no matter how beneficial it has been and can be, is carried out by fallible human beings. Scientists, no matter how intelligent, are every bit as human as the rest of us. Any honest scientist, including MCS herself, will freely admit—at least in the middle of the night—that he or she is not perfect, the same as any other human being.

Scientists have every right to fight for their pet theories—that’s only natural. But if they can’t admit to mistakes or even downright falsifications, then they are not following the best practices of science.

Existing on a ‘higher plane’

Ms. Contrarian Scientists finds that scientists often fall back on a “scientific consensus,” which they consider their higher authority, similar to the way believers consider God their higher power.

Scientists use this scientific consensus in an effort to prove that, because they exist on a plane much higher than ordinary folks, and because so many other scientists agree with them, they must be right, even when the data doesn’t go their way, or when someone challenges them on their theories.

But voting on the truth is no way to find the truth, and it’s definitely NOT The Scientific Method. Science is a dialog, NOT a democracy.

Science is a dialog, NOT a democracy.

Here at ContrarianScience.com, Ms. Contrarian Scientist will cover the debate over whether humans are causing Earth’s climate to change catastrophically.

And she will cover the debate over whether the Universe was created by an Intelligent Designer, though that topic is also well-covered elsewhere.

Science is a DialogIn doing so, the primary goal of this site will be to demonstrate both the genius and the humanity of scientists—and the inhumanity of scientists who personally attack, withhold funding and otherwise persecute other scientists because they don’t want dissenting (Contrarian) voices to be heard.

Throughout the history of science the powerful have often used their power to destroy others.

Throughout the history of science—and Galileo is just one example—the powerful have often used their power to destroy others in order to maintain their power. Or, even more sinister, they harbor ulterior plans for which they need to steer public opinion through the use of “peer-reviewed scientific studies.” This is NOT science, it is politics and worse.

So the goal of ContrarianScience.com is to give the little guy, the lost sheep, the underdog—YOU, Gentle Readers—ammunition in this battle for truth that is taking place in your own mind and in the minds and hearts of the general public.

In order to do this, MCS will strive to demonstrate the weakness in “scientific studies” that are being used as weapons against ourselves, our religious beliefs, our homes and our businesses.

But she will also do this by showing the human side of science throughout history: The squabbles, the mistakes, the evil plots against outsiders who have dared to go against the “Consensus Science” of their day, and who ultimately were proven right in their predictions.

And so, we begin.

“Stay stubborn.” —Einstein to a young scientist who underwent much ridicule for his experimental results.

*Thankfully, MCS was mercifully united with the Word of God and Maker of all things, who died on a cross to set her free from sin and death.